Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.047587 0.055512 0.064335 0.074883 0.087153 0.100978 0.117741
2025-10-26 0.035652 0.046089 0.058927 0.075881 0.097687 0.124809 0.161141
2025-11-02 0.029114 0.040735 0.056172 0.078178 0.108758 0.149791 0.209129
2025-11-09 0.023258 0.034733 0.050974 0.075630 0.112144 0.164295 0.244607
2025-11-16 0.019654 0.031051 0.048086 0.075393 0.118112 0.182498 0.287180
2025-11-23 0.016800 0.027908 0.045341 0.074673 0.122859 0.199049 0.329052
2025-11-30 0.014983 0.026053 0.044212 0.076140 0.130976 0.221530 0.382974
2025-12-07 0.013102 0.023765 0.041988 0.075363 0.135087 0.237760 0.428387
2025-12-14 0.011346 0.021410 0.039283 0.073287 0.136521 0.249391 0.467048
2025-12-21 0.009867 0.019327 0.036744 0.071095 0.137326 0.259805 0.504578
2025-12-28 0.009074 0.018412 0.036199 0.072493 0.144905 0.283359 0.569549
2026-01-04 0.008272 0.017358 0.035239 0.072926 0.150608 0.303942 0.631241
2026-01-11 0.007519 0.016315 0.034195 0.073116 0.155986 0.324826 0.696936
2026-01-18 0.006944 0.015565 0.033650 0.074268 0.163515 0.351018 0.777275
2026-01-25 0.006531 0.015106 0.033644 0.076556 0.173741 0.384044 0.876610
2026-02-01 0.005781 0.013783 0.031601 0.074069 0.173120 0.393698 0.925515
2026-02-08 0.005289 0.012986 0.030615 0.073838 0.177546 0.414963 1.003574
2026-02-15 0.004820 0.012176 0.029495 0.073133 0.180752 0.433802 1.078362
2026-02-22 0.004536 0.011777 0.029282 0.074570 0.189260 0.465985 1.189476
2026-03-01 0.004151 0.011071 0.028237 0.073809 0.192240 0.485283 1.271184
2026-03-08 0.003739 0.010237 0.026769 0.071776 0.191731 0.495931 1.332274
2026-03-15 0.003366 0.009454 0.025330 0.069628 0.190636 0.504956 1.390316
2026-03-22 0.003192 0.009192 0.025214 0.070998 0.199084 0.539601 1.521519